it was hard in european europe and hard in south africa and latin america but i think there is some hope that the dynamics can carry them through. >> the united states has to play an active leadership role rather than a passive leadership role. if the united states is passive and barack obama represents democratic ideas that it should be more passive this is the kind of world that results. i think places like egypt and even syria were looking to the united states to have a presence in this transition, but we have not seen the have and we're seen the results. >> paul: where is the potential of flash points? >> we don't talk about europe enough. the crisis in europe has not turned the corner. it's going to get dra mat kli worse. in portugal, spain, italy, there isening political dysfunction. that is going to encourage russia to make moves of its own. you mention south africa, south africa is not going in 'n a good direction. it was supposed to be the most optimistic spot. maybe new zealand but somebody told me they are heading south. >> paul: coming down to obamacare. big changes may be co